Media reports and number games
Last year I was using the subject in one ARD report to see, Only last week I was in the Wirtschaftswoche reported on the topic of skills shortages and rolled up the discussion and facts on the subject once again.
Already 2010 predicted the German Chamber of Commerce and Industry that until 2015 almost 50 percent of Company would expect a shortage of skilled workers. Likewise, 2012 also announced studies by Forsa or Kienbaum.
Mass withdrawals from the VDI
And according to the Association of German Engineers in Germany even 80.000 engineers are missing. This figure has been calculated by the VDI by multiplying the number of posts notified to the Federal Agency for Employment by seven. Reason: According to a survey of 2009, only every seventh place of the employment agency is also reported.
The absurdity of such numbers was repeatedly pointed out - by various experts who appeared in said ARD broadcast, by author Martin Gaedt and also again and again from us Best of HR – Berufebilder.de® and in media like World or Business Week.
Yes, there was even one large-scale action, which called for the general withdrawal from the VDI.
VDI rowed back
The VDI was extremely unimpressed, almost arrogant. Stoisch was repeatedly explained that one must expect in any case with a skilled labor force deficit.
And now that: the VDI is rowing back - but of course he does not admit it. Suddenly there is even talk of an engineer surplus instead of a shortage. Thus in a contribution of the FAZ Michael Schwartz, Divisional Manager Strategy and Communication at VDI, quoted as saying: On the one hand, the drop-out rate in the engineering sciences fell from 45 percent to 35 per cent within two years. On the other hand, advertising for women had paid off. In technical professions, they are still subordinate to their male counterparts. But their share is growing slowly. And in the medium term, it is noticeable that a year ago two high school graduation years completed the school and began a study. Therefore, a large number of young engineers will probably be pushing into the labor market in five years' time.
From lack to surplus
So the constant media reports on the topic have not passed so completely without a trace at the VDI. It seems so. But of course they would not admit it.
So let's summarize: Not a huge shortage of skilled workers at the engineers in Germany as a business location. Not even a gap. Instead, there is suddenly a shortage of skilled workers in IT. But I have already written about it in Wirtschaftswoche.
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