For years, the Association of German Engineers has warned the experts, but now it does not exist. Apparently the reaction to media reports as here in the blog.
Media reports & payment games
Last year I was using the subject in one ARD report to see, Only last week I was in the Wirtschaftswoche on the subject of professional deficit deficit, and the discussion & facts on the subject again rolled up.
Already 2010 predicted the German Chamber of Commerce and Industry that until 2015 almost 50 percent of Company would expect a shortage of skilled workers. Likewise, 2012 also announced studies by Forsa or Kienbaum.
Mass withdrawals from the VDI
And according to the Association of German Engineers in Germany even 80.000 engineers are missing. This figure has been calculated by the VDI by multiplying the number of posts notified to the Federal Agency for Employment by seven. Reason: According to a survey of 2009, only every seventh place of the employment agency is also reported.
The absurdity of such numbers was repeatedly pointed out - by various experts who appeared in said ARD broadcast, by author Martin Gaedt and also always from us here in the blog and in media like world or economic week.
Yes, there was even one large-scale action, which called for the general withdrawal from the VDI.
VDI rowed back
The VDI was extremely unimpressed, almost arrogant. Stoisch was repeatedly explained that one must expect in any case with a skilled labor force deficit.
And now that: the VDI is rowing back - but of course he does not admit it. Suddenly there is even talk of an engineer surplus instead of a shortage. Thus in a contribution of the FAZ Michael Schwartz, Head of Strategy and Communication at VDI, quotes the following:
On the one hand, the drop-out rate in the engineering sciences fell from 45 percent to 35 per cent within two years. On the other hand, advertising for women had paid off. In technical professions, they are still subordinate to their male counterparts. But their share is growing slowly. And in the medium term, it is noticeable that a year ago two high school graduation years completed the school and began a study. Therefore, a large number of young engineers will probably be pushing into the labor market in five years' time.
From lack to surplus
So the constant media reports on the topic have not passed so completely without a trace at the VDI. It seems so. But of course they would not admit it.
So we sum up: No huge technical deficit of the engineers, which is the economic center of Germany. Not even a gap. Instead, suddenly a skilled labor force in the IT. But I already wrote about it in the Wirtschaftswoche.
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