Donald Trump, US Election and the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US?


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Copyright: Images of indeed.com.

Last week we talked about the Impact on the labor market Shortly after the electoral victory of Donald Trump reported - and the number of job searches to Canada, which have increased significantly. Threatens the US now the brain drain thanks to Trump? And why is it important for the job market in particular that Germany now sets an example? Donald Trump, US Election and the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? post-election-exodus-hiring-lab-blog-charts_foreign-search

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How to move to Canada?

Overview

One thing is clear: According to the analysis of the job board Indeed.com, the proportion of job seekers from the US to Canada began the election night from about 21.00 o'clock (East Coast time) suddenly rose rapidly - at a time, then, as it became clear that Trump would win the election.

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At midnight, 2,7 percent of total US job search came from Canada - more than ten times the normal share for that time of day. This top job search, however, was only short-lived, because on Wednesday afternoon, she was almost back to normal levels.

Job search from the US abroad: Permanently slightly increased

Overview

However, the analysis by Indeed also shows that the proportion of search for jobs abroad remained moderately above the pre-election level: On Thursday 28% more jobs were sought abroad than on the previous Thursday.

At weekends, the proportion of job seekers abroad was at times 25% above the level of the previous week. And compared to the period before the election, the increase remains permanently slightly higher.

Donald Trump, US Election and the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? post-election-exodus-hiring-lab-blog-charts_new-zeland-surge

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Who benefits from job search? New Zealand in front of Canada

Overview

Since the site of the Canadian immigration authority collapsed in the election night, the neighbor in the north has so far received the greatest attention as possible migration goal. According to Indeed, Canada is the most popular destination for job hunting for US Americans abroad.

But compared to normal job search patterns, the differences were not particularly for Canada, but for another country: New Zealand. From the election day to the Sunday evening (8.-13 November), the share of US search for New Zealand was more than four times the same day a week earlier (1.-6 November). Canada is only second in this ranking.

Ireland, Spain and Australia are also included in the Top5, followed by English-speaking countries such as the United Kingdom (despite Brexit) and South Africa, but also Switzerland, the Netherlands and, surprisingly, Italy. Germany is missing as well as countries, which typically receive many search activities from the USA like Mexico, Brazil or India.

Donald Trump, US Election and the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? post-election-exodus-hiring-lab-blog-charts_metro-table-high

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Brain drain from the US?

Overview

The increase in job search overseas is due to different groups and strata: it affects university graduates as well as non-graduate students, as well as Milenials and Generation X members. But one big difference can be made: from the states and regions that favored Clinton, were increasingly finding job vacancies abroad.

Indeed, Indeed had the job search from the 8. to 13. In US states and metropolitan areas, data from the last five weeks were compared in November: In states that have already had a large number of foreign job searches, they once again increased by the factor 0,24, in others even by 0,30.

Jobexudus of the educated?

Overview

Amongst the major metropolitan areas, which typically have a high proportion of foreign job searches, the search for jobs abroad was strongest in Durham, New York City, Austin and Seattle - all more leftist, highly educated metropolitan areas. The expansion of job search abroad after the elections, by contrast, was minimal in Houston and Los Angeles.

Among the major metropolitan areas, which typically have a modest share of foreign job search, demand was strongest in Madison, Wisconsin, Albuquerque, NM, and Portland, Oregon.

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Donald Trump, US Election and the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? post-election-exodus-hiring-lab-blog-charts_metro-table-moderate

Conclusion: Germany has to set signs

Overview

However, it is unlikely that a mass exodus of educated workers will come from abroad - and the German labor market also appears to benefit only moderately from this demand, if at all. Incidentally, data for the Silicon Valley should be available soon.

This shows that, especially in the course of the US elections, it is sensible for the German labor market to improve its image on an international level in order to be attractive to IT professionals who are willing to take part in the process of change. German policy has set important signs in the past and can further improve this image.

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  1. Thomas Eggert

    Donald Trump, US Election & the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? by Simone Janson via PROFESSIONAL PICTURES - Highly recommended R4pb7XO2qC

  2. REGIS GMBH

    Donald Trump, US Election & the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? by Simone Janson via PROFESSIONAL PICTURES - Highly recommended gUGuw22jG1

  3. Thomas Eggert

    Donald Trump, US Election & the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? by Simone Janson via PROFESSIONAL PICTURES - Highly recommended R4pb7XO2qC

  4. REGIS GMBH

    Donald Trump, US Election & the Labor Market: Brain Drain from the US? by Simone Janson via PROFESSIONAL PICTURES - Highly recommended gUGuw22jG1

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